Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?" at 49.9%. Up 44.4%p from yesterday. $280 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
▲44.450%
PoliticsVol $280Total volume $4.3KLiquidity $121in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
49.9%
▲44.4

Probability over time

Canada cuts off or throttles electricity to the US by December 31?
02550751009/19/119/2110/110/1110/2110/28
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-10-28 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.