Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?
Polymarket traders put "↑ 5%" at 31.0% on "Carlson's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?". Down 15.5%p from yesterday. $4.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
↑ 5%
▼15.531%
PoliticsVol $4.3KTotal volume $4.3KLiquidity $967in 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
↑ 5%
31.0%
▼15.5
↓ 2%
26.0%
▼24.0
↑ 6%
17.0%
▲10.5
Probability over time
↑ 5%
↓ 2%
↑ 6%
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %
