ChatGPT Outage by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 71.0% on "ChatGPT Outage by...?". Up 7.5%p from yesterday. $599 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 1.

Most likely right now
October 31
▲7.571%
TechVol $599Total volume $599Liquidity $275in 18 days (Nov 1)
Current probability

Oct 14 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
71.0%
▲7.5
October 15
47.5%
▲30.0

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.