ChatGPT Outage by...?

Polymarket traders put "November 15" at 85.0% on "ChatGPT Outage by...?". $580 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 16.

Most likely right now
November 15
–85%
TechVol $580Total volume $580Liquidity $510in 26 days (Nov 16)
Current probability

Oct 21 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
November 15
85.0%
–
October 31
59.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.