Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Tsai Yi-yu" at 86.5% on "Chiayi County Magistrate Election Winner". There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 28.

Most likely right now
Tsai Yi-yu
87%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $4.9KLiquidity $20Kin 3 months (Nov 28)
Current probability

Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Tsai Yi-yu
86.5%
Wu Pin-jui
10.5%
Tsai Sung-yi
0.15%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.