Closest Governor's Race?

Polymarket traders put "Kansas" at 44.4% on "Closest Governor's Race?". $153 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 36 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Kansas
–44%
PoliticsVol $153Total volume $153Liquidity $7.7Kin 28 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Kansas
44.4%
–
Wisconsin
43.5%
–
Colorado
43.3%
–
Alabama
42.8%
–
New Hampshire
41.6%
–
Texas
41.4%
–
Ohio
26.1%
–
Georgia
23.4%
–
Nevada
23.3%
–
Florida
22.1%
–
South Carolina
21.9%
–
Pennsylvania
21.8%
–
South Dakota
21.8%
–
Arizona
21.8%
–
Tennessee
21.3%
–
Oregon
20.6%
–
Hawaii
20.2%
–
Idaho
19.5%
–
Oklahoma
19.5%
–
Nebraska
19.4%
–
Wyoming
19.4%
–
Alaska
4.30%
–
Iowa
4.30%
–
Vermont
4.30%
–
California
3.65%
–
New York
3.65%
–
New Mexico
3.60%
–
Minnesota
3.60%
–
Michigan
3.60%
–
Maine
3.60%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.