Closest Senate Race?

Polymarket traders put "Iowa" at 24.4% on "Closest Senate Race?". $115 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Iowa
–24%
PoliticsVol $115Total volume $115Liquidity $1.1Kin 28 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Iowa
24.4%
–
Alaska
24.2%
–
Nebraska
24.1%
–
Kansas
24.1%
–
Texas
24.1%
–
Ohio (Special)
24.0%
–
Maine
24.0%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.