CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 31.0% on "CO-03 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. $170 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
2.531%
PoliticsVol $170Total volume $270Liquidity $9.9Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability

Sep 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
31.0%
2.5
Republican 12%+
30.0%
5.5
Republican 9-12%
28.0%
3.0
Republican 6-9%
28.0%
5.5
Democrat 0-3%
26.0%
8.0
Democrat 9-12%
22.0%
9.5
Democrat 12%+
22.0%
10.5
Democrat 6-9%
19.5%
11.0
Republican 0-3%
19.0%
15.5
Democrat 3-6%
17.0%
15.5

Probability over time

Republican 3-6%
Republican 12%+
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
02550751008/269/19/4
2026-08-26 ~ 2026-09-04 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.