CO-04 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 3-6%" at 22.0% on "CO-04 House Election Margin of Victory". $4 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 3-6%
–22%
PoliticsVol $4Total volume $10KLiquidity $147Kin 26 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 3-6%
22.0%
–
Republican 0-3%
19.5%
–
Democrat 0-3%
17.3%
–
Republican 9-12%
16.0%
▲3.5
Republican 6-9%
16.0%
–
Democrat 3-6%
7.00%
▼1.0
Republican 12%+
5.65%
▲0.5
Democrat 6-9%
5.00%
–
Democrat 12%+
3.25%
▼1.1
Democrat 9-12%
2.60%
–

Probability over time

Republican 3-6%
Republican 0-3%
Democrat 0-3%
Republican 9-12%
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 3-6%
02550751008/259/99/169/239/3010/710/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.