CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 40-45%" at 34.0% on "CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Democrat 40-45%
▲2.534%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $218Liquidity $1.8Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 40-45%
34.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 30-35%
31.5%
▼2.5
Democrat 50%+
30.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 0-10%
30.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 10-20%
28.0%
▲2.5
Democrat 35-40%
27.0%
–
Democrat 45-50%
25.0%
▼1.5
Democrat 20-25%
25.0%
▼2.0
Democrat 25-30%
21.0%
▼1.5
Republican Wins
5.00%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 50%+
Democrat 0-10%
Democrat 10-20%
Democrat 35-40%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
