CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 35-40%" at 36.5% on "CT-01 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 3.0%p from yesterday. $40 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲3.037%
PoliticsVol $40Total volume $14KLiquidity $147Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
36.5%
▲3.0
Democrat 30-35%
32.0%
▲1.0
Democrat 40-45%
20.0%
–
Democrat 45-50%
13.8%
▲5.1
Democrat 25-30%
7.00%
▼4.0
Democrat 50%+
2.20%
–
Democrat 20-25%
1.90%
–
Democrat 0-10%
0.95%
–
Democrat 10-20%
0.15%
–
Republican Wins
0.05%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 30-35%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 25-30%
Democrat 50%+
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
