CT-04 House Election Winner
Polymarket traders put "Jim Himes (D)" at 97.3% on "CT-04 House Election Winner". Unchanged from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Jim Himes (D)
–97%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $49KLiquidity $34Kin 15 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 19 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Jim Himes (D)
97.3%
–
Michael Goldstein (R)
1.85%
–
Probability over time
Jim Himes (D)
Michael Goldstein (R)
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-19 · y-axis %
