CT-04 House Election Margin of Victory
Most likely right now
Democrat 35-40%
▲2.035%
PoliticsVol $24Total volume $24Liquidity $9.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 25 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 35-40%
34.5%
▲2.0
Democrat 10-20%
34.5%
▲5.5
Democrat 25-30%
27.5%
▼9.0
Democrat 20-25%
23.5%
▼11.0
Democrat 40-45%
21.5%
▼10.5
Republican Wins
2.55%
▼8.0
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
