Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Dem sweep; China not #1" at 61.2% on "Dem sweep & Chinese AI model #1 by end of 2027?". $137 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Dem sweep; China not #1
–61%
PoliticsVol $137Total volume $137Liquidity $64Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Dem sweep; China not #1
61.2%
–
No Dem sweep; China not #1
26.4%
–
Dem sweep; China #1 AI
8.35%
–
No Dem sweep; China #1 AI
4.25%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.