Dem sweep & Democrat wins 2028 presidency?

Polymarket traders put "Dem sweep; Dem wins 2028" at 43.8% on "Dem sweep & Democrat wins 2028 presidency?". $1.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 8.

Most likely right now
Dem sweep; Dem wins 2028
–44%
PoliticsVol $1.4KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $199Kin 2 years (Nov 8)
Current probability

Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Dem sweep; Dem wins 2028
43.8%
–
Dem sweep; Dem loses 2028
24.1%
–
No Dem sweep; Dem wins 2028
20.7%
–
No Dem sweep; Dem loses 2028
11.7%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.