Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Dem sweep; No Phase II" at 54.1% on "Dem sweep & Gaza ceasefire Phase II by end of 2027?". $1.3K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Dem sweep; No Phase II
–54%
PoliticsVol $1.3KTotal volume $1.3KLiquidity $61Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Dem sweep; No Phase II
54.1%
–
No Dem sweep; No Phase II
24.9%
–
Dem sweep; Phase II deal
18.0%
–
No Dem sweep; Phase II deal
4.35%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.