Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027?
Polymarket traders put "Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken" at 59.1% on "Dem sweep & US-Iran ceasefire through 2027?". $2.4K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.
Most likely right now
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken
–59%
PoliticsVol $2.4KTotal volume $2.4KLiquidity $68Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability
Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken
59.1%
–
No Dem sweep; Ceasefire broken
22.9%
–
Dem sweep; Ceasefire holds
15.8%
–
No Dem sweep; Ceasefire holds
3.80%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
