Dem sweep & US stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by end of 2027?

Polymarket traders put "Dem sweep; No US stake" at 53.3% on "Dem sweep & US stake in OpenAI or Anthropic by end of 2027?". $420 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 4 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
Dem sweep; No US stake
–53%
PoliticsVol $420Total volume $420Liquidity $65Kin 1.2 years (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Dem sweep; No US stake
53.3%
–
Dem sweep; US stake
19.7%
–
No Dem sweep; No US stake
19.1%
–
No Dem sweep; US stake
7.90%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.