Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?

Polymarket traders put "Jon Ossoff" at 74.5% on "Democratic nomination odds leader on November 30?". Up 26.5%p from yesterday. $3.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 30.

Most likely right now
Jon Ossoff
▲26.575%
PoliticsVol $3.9KTotal volume $3.9KLiquidity $82Kin 26 days (Nov 30)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Jon Ossoff
74.5%
▲26.5
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
18.5%
▼29.5
Gavin Newsom
7.00%
▼41.5
Pete Buttigieg
1.45%
▼46.6
Josh Shapiro
1.15%
▼46.9
Kamala Harris
1.10%
▼46.9

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.