DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "↑ 8%" at 100.0% on "DeSantis's Republican nomination odds hit __ by December 31?". $8.9K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
↑ 8%
–100%
PoliticsVol $8.9KTotal volume $8.9KLiquidity $11Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 5 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
↑ 8%
100.0%
–
↑ 6%
100.0%
–
↓ 3%
20.5%
▼29.5

Probability over time

↑ 8%
↑ 6%
↓ 3%
025507510011/411/5
2026-11-04 ~ 2026-11-05 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.