El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place

Polymarket traders put "PCN" at 37.0% on "El Salvador Legislative Election: 3rd Place". $847 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
PCN
–37%
PoliticsVol $847Total volume $847Liquidity $33Kin 5 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
PCN
37.0%
–
PDC
16.5%
–
GANA
14.0%
–
Solidary Force (FS)
12.0%
–
ARENA
11.0%
–
Vamos
8.50%
–
FMLN
8.00%
–
FPS
7.50%
–
Salvadoran Democracy (DS)
7.00%
–
PAIS
7.00%
–
Nuevas Ideas (NI)
3.10%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.