El Salvador Legislative Election Winner

Polymarket traders put "Nuevas Ideas (NI)" at 85.5% on "El Salvador Legislative Election Winner". $577 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 11 possible outcomes. It resolves on Mar 1.

Most likely right now
Nuevas Ideas (NI)
–86%
PoliticsVol $577Total volume $552Liquidity $12Kin 5 months (Mar 1)
Current probability

Oct 3 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Nuevas Ideas (NI)
85.5%
–
PCN
6.10%
–
ARENA
6.05%
–
Solidary Force (FS)
4.40%
–
PAIS
4.30%
–
PDC
4.00%
–
FPS
4.00%
–
FMLN
3.95%
–
GANA
3.95%
–
Salvadoran Democracy (DS)
3.95%
–
Vamos
3.75%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.