Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "180-199" at 23.5% on "Elon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?". $51K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 26 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 9.

Most likely right now
180-199
–24%
PoliticsVol $51KTotal volume $51KLiquidity $298Kin 10 days (Oct 9)
Current probability

Sep 30 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
180-199
23.5%
–
200-219
20.5%
–
160-179
16.5%
–
220-239
14.5%
–
240-259
8.50%
–
140-159
6.50%
–
260-279
3.95%
–
120-139
2.55%
–
280-299
1.80%
–
300-319
1.65%
–
320-339
1.25%
–
100-119
1.20%
–
340-359
0.70%
–
360-379
0.60%
–
80-99
0.50%
–
380-399
0.50%
–
400-419
0.50%
–
60-79
0.15%
–
500+
0.15%
–
420-439
0.10%
–
<20
0.05%
–
20-39
0.05%
–
40-59
0.05%
–
440-459
0.05%
–
460-479
0.05%
–
480-499
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.