Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?

Polymarket traders put "Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?" at 0.1%. $361 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 1.

Most likely right now
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
–0%
PoliticsVol $361Total volume $12.3MLiquidity $864KClosed (Oct 1)
Current probability

Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/6
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-06 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.