Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "200-219" at 24.5% on "Elon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?". $27K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 26 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 13.

Most likely right now
200-219
–25%
PoliticsVol $27KTotal volume $27KLiquidity $331Kin 10 days (Oct 13)
Current probability

Oct 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
200-219
24.5%
–
180-199
23.5%
–
220-239
19.5%
–
160-179
12.5%
–
240-259
8.50%
–
140-159
4.50%
–
260-279
4.50%
–
280-299
1.95%
–
120-139
1.75%
–
300-319
1.25%
–
320-339
0.75%
–
340-359
0.70%
–
100-119
0.65%
–
360-379
0.50%
–
380-399
0.45%
–
80-99
0.30%
–
400-419
0.10%
–
<20
0.05%
–
20-39
0.05%
–
40-59
0.05%
–
60-79
0.05%
–
420-439
0.05%
–
440-459
0.05%
–
460-479
0.05%
–
480-499
0.05%
–
500+
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.