Erdoğan out by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 20.0% on "Erdoğan out by...?". Down 15.5%p from yesterday. $395 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
▼15.520%
PoliticsVol $395Total volume $648KLiquidity $52KComments 5in 1.2 years (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
20.0%
▼15.5
December 31, 2026
4.05%
▲0.5
Probability over time
December 31, 2027
December 31, 2026
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
