EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 78.5% on "EU country blames Russia for new sabotage attack by...?". $140 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
–79%
PoliticsVol $140Total volume $140Liquidity $11Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
78.5%
–
November 30
43.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.