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EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?

Polymarket traders put "EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?" at 15.0%. $14 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
–15%
PoliticsVol $14Total volume $8.8KLiquidity $11Kin 2 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Nov 4 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
15.0%
–

Probability over time

EU country expels Russian ambassador by December 31?
02550751009/209/2810/610/1410/2210/3011/4
2026-09-20 ~ 2026-11-04 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.