EU lifts ban on Russian diesel imports by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 5.5% on "EU lifts ban on Russian diesel imports by...?". Down 18.5%p from yesterday. $2.0K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼18.56%
PoliticsVol $2.0KTotal volume $2.0KLiquidity $25Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 11 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
5.50%
▼18.5
October 31
0.60%
▼23.9

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
025507510010/1010/11
2026-10-10 ~ 2026-10-11 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.