European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...?

Polymarket traders put "European country agrees to give Ukraine security guarantee by...? " at 5.5%. Down 1.5%p from yesterday. $97 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼1.56%
PoliticsVol $97Total volume $268KLiquidity $15KComments 13in 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
5.50%
▼1.5

Probability over time

December 31
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/9
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.