European military action against Iran by...?
Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 5.5% on "European military action against Iran by...?". $5 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.
Most likely right now
December 31
–6%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $329KLiquidity $38KComments 9in 3 months (Dec 31)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
December 31
5.50%
–
October 31
1.95%
–
Probability over time
December 31
October 31
2026-09-01 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
