Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?

Polymarket traders put "Ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro in US custody by...?" at 5.5%. $5 traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31
6%
PoliticsVol $5Total volume $823KLiquidity $30KComments 23in 4 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
5.50%

Probability over time

December 31
02550751008/258/26
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.