Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo

Polymarket traders put "Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems" at 35.0% on "Fall Elections Three-Way: Brazil, Israel, US Senate Combo". $1.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 12 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems
–35%
PoliticsVol $1.5KTotal volume $1.4KLiquidity $104Kin 29 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 6 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Dems
35.0%
–
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Dems
23.0%
–
Bolsonaro, Eizenkot, Reps
13.5%
–
Bolsonaro, Netanyahu, Reps
12.0%
–
Lula, Eizenkot, Dems
7.00%
–
Lula, Netanyahu, Dems
7.00%
–
Lula, Eizenkot, Reps
6.00%
–
Lula, Netanyahu, Reps
6.00%
–
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Dems
4.50%
–
Bolsonaro, Bennett, Reps
4.00%
–
Lula, Bennett, Dems
3.65%
–
Lula, Bennett, Reps
1.70%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.