Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?
Polymarket traders put "Farsi, Hengam, Hormuz or Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by...?" at 2.5%. Unchanged from yesterday. $1.2K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Oct 1.
Most likely right now
October 31
–2%
PoliticsVol $1.2KTotal volume $228KLiquidity $34KClosed (Oct 1)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
October 31
2.45%
–
Probability over time
October 31
2026-10-01 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
