Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2026" at 9.8% on "Fetterman leaves the Democrats by...?". Down 2.6%p from yesterday. $16K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Jan 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2026
▼2.610%
PoliticsVol $16KTotal volume $46KLiquidity $40Kin 3 months (Jan 1)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2026
9.85%
▼2.6
November 2, 2026
1.20%
▼3.1
Between Nov. 3 and Jan. 3 12PM
0.00%
▲20.5

Probability over time

December 31, 2026
November 2, 2026
Between Nov. 3 and Jan. 3 12PM
02550751008/259/69/139/209/2710/410/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.