FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 44.5% on "FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 7.0%p from yesterday. $650 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲7.045%
PoliticsVol $650Total volume $12KLiquidity $32Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
44.5%
▲7.0
Republican 5-10%
23.8%
▼7.1
Republican 0-5%
17.7%
▲1.1
Democrat 0-5%
12.6%
▲9.8
Republican 15-20%
11.5%
▼0.5
Republican 20-25%
7.45%
▲0.7
Democrat 5%+
5.65%
–
Republican 25%+
2.70%
▼2.3
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Democrat 0-5%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
