FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 15-20%" at 39.0% on "FL-02 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 6.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 15-20%
▲6.539%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $136Liquidity $1.1Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 15-20%
39.0%
▲6.5
Republican 5-10%
35.5%
▲3.0
Republican 10-15%
35.0%
▲0.5
Republican 20-25%
30.0%
▲1.5
Republican 0-5%
27.5%
▼4.0
Democrat 0-5%
27.0%
▲4.5
Republican 25%+
26.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 5%+
5.50%
▼0.5
Probability over time
Republican 15-20%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 0-5%
Democrat 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
