FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 20-25%" at 30.0% on "FL-06 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $390 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 9 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.

Most likely right now
Republican 20-25%
▲0.530%
PoliticsVol $390Total volume $7.0KLiquidity $123Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability

Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 20-25%
30.0%
▲0.5
Republican 15-20%
25.4%
–
Republican 10-15%
19.9%
–
Republican 35%+
10.9%
–
Republican 5-10%
10.1%
▲4.5
Republican 30-35%
10.0%
▲1.5
Republican 0-5%
4.70%
▲0.5
Republican 25-30%
2.35%
▼3.4
Democrat Wins
1.05%
–

Probability over time

Republican 20-25%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 35%+
Republican 5-10%
Republican 30-35%
02550751008/259/89/159/229/2910/610/10
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.