FL-14 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 9-12%" at 38.0% on "FL-14 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 9-12%
–38%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $989in 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 9-12%
38.0%
–
Republican 3-6%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 6-9%
38.0%
▼0.5
Republican 12%+
37.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 0-3%
37.5%
▼0.5
Democrat 12%+
37.5%
▼1.0

Probability over time

Republican 9-12%
Republican 3-6%
Democrat 6-9%
Republican 12%+
Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 12%+
02550751009/1310/110/310/510/710/9
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.