FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 10-15%" at 31.0% on "FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $529 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Republican 10-15%
▲0.531%
PoliticsVol $529Total volume $9.7KLiquidity $125Kin 24 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 10 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 10-15%
31.0%
▲0.5
Republican 5-10%
30.0%
▼2.5
Republican 15-20%
22.5%
▼1.5
Republican 20-25%
16.5%
▲1.5
Democrat Wins
4.20%
–
Republican 0-5%
3.25%
▼1.4
Republican 25-30%
2.75%
▼0.9
Republican 30%+
2.20%
–
Probability over time
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Republican 15-20%
Republican 20-25%
Democrat Wins
Republican 0-5%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-10 · y-axis %
