FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Republican 5-10%" at 32.0% on "FL-15 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 2.5%p from yesterday. There are 8 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.
Most likely right now
Republican 5-10%
▼2.532%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $163Liquidity $1.5Kin 2 months (Nov 3)
Current probability
Aug 26 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Republican 5-10%
32.0%
▼2.5
Republican 0-5%
32.0%
▲5.0
Republican 30%+
31.0%
▼2.5
Republican 10-15%
31.0%
▲1.5
Republican 20-25%
25.0%
▼2.0
Republican 25-30%
24.0%
▲2.0
Republican 15-20%
24.0%
▼4.0
Democrat Wins
23.5%
▲3.0
Probability over time
Republican 5-10%
Republican 0-5%
Republican 30%+
Republican 10-15%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 25-30%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-08-26 · y-axis %
