FL-22 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Democrat 0-3%" at 38.0% on "FL-22 House Election Margin of Victory". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Democrat 0-3%
▼0.538%
PoliticsVol -Total volume -Liquidity $1.0Kin 25 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Democrat 0-3%
38.0%
▼0.5
Democrat 9-12%
38.0%
▼0.5
Republican 12%+
37.5%
▼0.5
Republican 6-9%
37.5%
–
Democrat 12%+
37.5%
▲0.5

Probability over time

Democrat 0-3%
Democrat 9-12%
Republican 12%+
Republican 6-9%
Democrat 12%+
02550751009/139/2610/110/410/610/9
2026-09-13 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.