FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Democrat 50-55%" at 35.5% on "FL-24 House Election Margin of Victory". There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Democrat 50-55%
–36%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $12KLiquidity $166Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Democrat 50-55%
35.5%
–
Democrat 55%+
20.5%
▼1.0
Democrat 45-50%
15.8%
–
Democrat 40-45%
12.0%
▼3.0
Democrat 35-40%
8.50%
–
Democrat 15-25%
2.50%
▼0.9
Democrat 30-35%
0.55%
–
Democrat 25-30%
0.55%
–
Democrat 0-15%
0.50%
–
Republican Wins
0.45%
–
Probability over time
Democrat 50-55%
Democrat 55%+
Democrat 45-50%
Democrat 40-45%
Democrat 35-40%
Democrat 15-25%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
