FL-26 House Election Margin of Victory

Polymarket traders put "Republican 30%+" at 42.0% on "FL-26 House Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $280 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 7 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 3.

Most likely right now
Republican 30%+
▲0.542%
PoliticsVol $280Total volume $280Liquidity $321in 19 days (Nov 3)
Current probability

Oct 15 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
Republican 30%+
42.0%
▲0.5
Republican 25-30%
42.0%
▲0.5
Republican 20-25%
42.0%
–
Republican 10-15%
42.0%
▲1.0
Republican 5-10%
42.0%
▼0.5
Democrat Wins
42.0%
▲1.0
Republican 15-20%
40.5%
▼1.0

Probability over time

Republican 30%+
Republican 25-30%
Republican 20-25%
Republican 10-15%
Republican 5-10%
Democrat Wins
02550751009/3010/110/610/710/15
2026-09-30 ~ 2026-10-15 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.