Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?

Polymarket traders put "180-199" at 23.5% on "Elon Musk # tweets October 9 - October 16, 2026?". $108K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 26 possible outcomes. It resolves on Oct 16.

Most likely right now
180-199
–24%
PoliticsVol $108KTotal volume $108KLiquidity $280Kin 10 days (Oct 16)
Current probability

Oct 7 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
180-199
23.5%
–
200-219
22.5%
–
220-239
18.5%
–
160-179
15.5%
–
240-259
7.50%
–
140-159
6.50%
–
260-279
4.65%
–
280-299
2.45%
–
120-139
1.80%
–
300-319
1.60%
–
100-119
0.85%
–
320-339
0.85%
–
400-419
0.70%
–
80-99
0.60%
–
340-359
0.60%
–
360-379
0.50%
–
380-399
0.45%
–
420-439
0.35%
–
500+
0.15%
–
<20
0.05%
–
20-39
0.05%
–
40-59
0.05%
–
60-79
0.05%
–
440-459
0.05%
–
460-479
0.05%
–
480-499
0.05%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.