Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?

Polymarket traders put "March 31, 2027" at 20.0% on "Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?". $24K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
March 31, 2027
–20%
PoliticsVol $24KTotal volume $24KLiquidity $71KComments 2in 5 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Oct 28 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
March 31, 2027
20.0%
–
December 31, 2026
15.5%
–
November 30, 2026
9.50%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.