Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31, 2027" at 32.5% on "Flávio Bolsonaro returns to Brazil by...?". $17K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 5 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 1.

Most likely right now
December 31, 2027
–33%
PoliticsVol $17KTotal volume $17KLiquidity $51KComments 1in 5 months (Apr 1)
Current probability

Oct 29 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31, 2027
32.5%
–
June 30, 2027
22.5%
–
March 31, 2027
14.5%
–
December 31, 2026
8.50%
–
November 30, 2026
3.15%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.