Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory
Polymarket traders put "Donalds 6-9%" at 22.5% on "Florida Governor Election Margin of Victory". Up 0.5%p from yesterday. $258 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 10 possible outcomes. It resolves on Nov 4.
Most likely right now
Donalds 6-9%
▲0.523%
PoliticsVol $258Total volume $17KLiquidity $141Kin 25 days (Nov 4)
Current probability
Oct 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Donalds 6-9%
22.5%
▲0.5
Donalds 0-3%
22.5%
▲5.5
Donalds 3-6%
21.5%
▲2.0
Donalds 9-12%
20.0%
▼0.5
Jolly 0-3%
11.5%
–
Jolly 3-6%
7.65%
–
Jolly 6%+
4.75%
–
Donalds 12-15%
3.70%
–
Donalds 18%+
3.55%
▲1.4
Donalds 15-18%
1.20%
–
Probability over time
Donalds 6-9%
Donalds 0-3%
Donalds 3-6%
Donalds 9-12%
Jolly 0-3%
Jolly 3-6%
2026-08-25 ~ 2026-10-09 · y-axis %
