France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?

Polymarket traders put "France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?" at 14.5%. $10K traded in the last 24 hours. It resolves on Dec 1.

Most likely right now
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
–14%
PoliticsVol $10KTotal volume $10KLiquidity $20KComments 1in 1 months (Dec 1)
Current probability

Oct 22 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
France accuses foreign country of provoking unrest by November 30?
14.5%
–

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

Other markets in this category

Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.