France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

Polymarket traders put "October 31" at 5.5% on "France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?". $3.2K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 3 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
October 31
6%
PoliticsVol $3.2KTotal volume $3.2KLiquidity $41Kin 4 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Sep 17 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
October 31
5.55%
December 31
5.50%
September 30
3.25%

Probability over time

Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.