France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?

Polymarket traders put "December 31" at 4.7% on "France, UK, or Germany military action against Yemen by...?". Down 0.5%p from yesterday. There are 2 possible outcomes. It resolves on Dec 31.

Most likely right now
December 31
▼0.55%
PoliticsVol -Total volume $15KLiquidity $25KComments 2in 2 months (Dec 31)
Current probability

Oct 27 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)

0%50%100%
December 31
4.65%
▼0.5
October 31
1.65%
–

Probability over time

December 31
October 31
02550751009/179/2410/110/810/1510/2210/27
2026-09-17 ~ 2026-10-27 · y-axis %

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Probabilities are Polymarket trade prices, formed by participants betting real money. They are not official forecasts and are a poor basis for investment decisions.