French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place
Polymarket traders put "Jean-Luc Mélenchon" at 40.0% on "French Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place". $2.6K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 18.
Most likely right now
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
–40%
PoliticsVol $2.6KTotal volume $2.6KLiquidity $66Kin 6 months (Apr 18)
Current probability
Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
40.0%
–
Édouard Philippe
35.0%
–
Dominique de Villepin
14.2%
–
Éric Zemmour
13.5%
–
Raphaël Glucksmann
12.5%
–
Marine Tondelier
12.3%
–
François Hollande
11.8%
–
Bruno Retailleau
9.85%
–
Marine Le Pen
9.50%
–
Gabriel Attal
4.35%
–
David Lisnard
3.80%
–
Sébastien Lecornu
3.75%
–
François Ruffin
3.45%
–
Jordan Bardella
3.35%
–
Christine Lagarde
2.60%
–
Sarah Knafo
0.25%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
