French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place
Polymarket traders put "David Lisnard" at 34.5% on "French Presidential Election First Round: 3rd Place". $2.5K traded in the last 24 hours. There are 16 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 18.
Most likely right now
David Lisnard
–35%
PoliticsVol $2.5KTotal volume $2.5KLiquidity $65Kin 6 months (Apr 18)
Current probability
Oct 13 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
David Lisnard
34.5%
–
Bruno Retailleau
34.4%
–
Éric Zemmour
32.0%
–
Gabriel Attal
29.5%
–
François Hollande
25.6%
–
Jordan Bardella
25.1%
–
Édouard Philippe
22.5%
–
Jean-Luc Mélenchon
21.0%
–
Raphaël Glucksmann
18.5%
–
Marine Le Pen
7.50%
–
Sébastien Lecornu
4.70%
–
Sarah Knafo
3.75%
–
Marine Tondelier
3.70%
–
Dominique de Villepin
3.00%
–
Christine Lagarde
2.55%
–
François Ruffin
1.50%
–
Probability over time
Only one day recorded so far. We record once each morning, so the line starts tomorrow.
