French Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon Vote Share?
Polymarket traders put "21-24%" at 37.0% on "French Presidential Election First Round: Mélenchon Vote Share?". Down 3.0%p from yesterday. $434 traded in the last 24 hours. There are 6 possible outcomes. It resolves on Apr 18.
Most likely right now
21-24%
▼3.037%
PoliticsVol $434Total volume $434Liquidity $3.0Kin 5 months (Apr 18)
Current probability
Nov 9 · right column is the 24-hour change (pp)
0%50%100%
21-24%
37.0%
▼3.0
24%+
36.0%
▲0.5
15-18%
25.0%
▼7.5
18-21%
23.0%
▼11.5
12-15%
12.0%
▼9.5
<12%
11.0%
▼11.5
Probability over time
21-24%
24%+
15-18%
18-21%
12-15%
<12%
2026-11-07 ~ 2026-11-09 · y-axis %
